Průzkum veřejného mínění pro volby do Evropského parlamentu ve Francii v roce 2014 - Opinion polling for the 2014 European Parliament election in France - Wikipedia
Tato stránka uvádí veřejné názorový průzkum provedeno pro Volby do Evropského parlamentu 2014 ve Francii, který se konal dne 25. května 2014.
Pokud není uvedeno jinak, všechny níže uvedené ankety jsou v souladu s předpisy národní volební komise (Commission nationale des sondages) a využívat metoda kvót.
Grafické shrnutí
Průměry v níže uvedených grafech byly vytvořeny pomocí níže uvedených průzkumů provedených osmi hlavními francouzskými průzkumníky. Grafy jsou vyhlazeny 14denními váženými klouzavými průměry, přičemž se používá pouze nejnovější průzkum provedený kterýmkoli daným průzkumníkem v tomto rozsahu (každý průzkum vážený na základě aktuálnosti).
Národní výsledky seznamů LO, NPA, ND, EC, AEI, NC, FV a DLR nebyly poskytnuty Ministerstvo vnitra ve volbách do Evropského parlamentu v roce 2014. Tyto seznamy získaly 1,17%, 0,39%, 2,90%, 0,67%, 1,12%, 1,41%, 0,74% a 3,82% hlasů v 8, 5, 7, 6, 5, 7, 8 a 8 volebních obvodů, ve kterých předložily seznamy.
Záměry hlasování
Počínaje 10. dubnem 2014, Ifop -Fiducial zveřejnil „průběžný“ průzkum pro Paris Match který je v níže uvedených tabulkách uveden jako „Ifop-Fiducial“ bez hvězdičky, zatímco samostatné ankety neprováděné jako součást „průběžného“ hlasování jsou uvedeny s hvězdičkou (*).[1]
Regionalistické seznamy získaly v roce 2009 0,25% hlasů; tento součet je zahrnut do součtu ostatních seznamů, které by jinak byly 4,45%.
| Dotazovací firma | Datum terénní práce | Vzorek velikost | Břišní svaly. | HLE | NPA | FG | PS PRG | DVG | EELV | ND | ES | AEI | Modem | UDI | UMP | NC | F V | DLR | DVD | FN | EXD | DIV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 volby | 25. května 2014 | – | 57.57% | 1.60% (EXG ) | 6.33% | 13.98% | 3.18% | 8.95% | (DVG) | (DIV) | (DIV) | 9.94% | 20.81% | (DVD) | (DVD) | (DVD) | 5.98% | 24.86% | 0.01% | 4.37% | ||
| Ipsos | 22. – 23. Května 2014 | 1,547 | 58% | 1% | 1% | 7.5% | 16.5% | – | 8.5% | 2.5% | 1% | – | 9.5% | 21% | 1% | 0.5% | 3% | – | 24% | – | 3% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 20. – 23. Května 2014 | 1,691 | 57.5% | 0.5% | 1% | 7.5% | 16% | – | 10% | 2.5% | 1% | 0.5% | 9.5% | 21.5% | – | 0.5% | 2.5% | 1% | 23.5% | – | 2.5% | |
| Ipsos | 21. – 22. Května 2014 | 1,561 | 58.5% | 0.5% | 1% | 8.5% | 17.5% | – | 9% | 1.5% | 1% | – | 9.5% | 21% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 3% | – | 24% | – | 2.5% | |
| CSA | 20. – 22. Května 2014 | 1,897 | 60% | 1% | 1% | 8% | 16% | – | 9% | 2% | <0.5% | – | 10% | 21% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 2% | – | 23.5% | – | 5.5% | |
| Harris Interactive | 20. – 22. Května 2014 | 1,431 | – | 0.5% | 1% | 7% | 16% | – | 9% | 3% | 1% | – | 11% | 21% | 1% | – | 2% | – | 23% | – | 4.5% | |
| Ipsos | 20. – 22. Května 2014 | 1,540 | 58.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 8% | 17.5% | – | 9% | 1.5% | 1% | – | 9.5% | 21.5% | 0.5% | <0.5% | 3% | – | 23.5% | – | 3% | |
| OpinionWay | 20. – 22. Května 2014 | 2,948 | 60% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 17% | – | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 11% | 21% | 1% | 0.5% | 2.5% | – | 21% | – | 3% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 19. – 22. Května 2014 | 1,691 | 58.5% | 0.5% | 1% | 8% | 16.5% | – | 10% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 9.5% | 22% | – | 0.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 23.5% | – | 2% | |
| YouGov | 19. – 22. Května 2014 | 1,092 | 55% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 9.1% | 16.7% | – | 6.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 6.8% | 21.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 3.2% | – | 26.1% | – | 2.7% | |
| Ipsos | 19. – 21. Května 2014 | 1,266 | 58.5% | 1% | 1% | 7.5% | 17% | – | 8% | 2% | 1% | – | 9% | 22.5% | 1% | <0.5% | 3% | – | 23.5% | – | 3.5% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 16. – 21. Května 2014 | 1,691 | 58.5% | 0.5% | 1% | 8% | 17% | – | 9.5% | 2% | 1% | 0.5% | 10% | 22% | – | 0.5% | 2% | 0.5% | 23.5% | – | 2% | |
| Ipsos | 16. – 20. Května 2014 | 1,545 | 59% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 17% | – | 8% | 1.5% | 1% | – | 9% | 23% | 1% | <0.5% | 3.5% | – | 23.5% | – | 3.5% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 15. – 20. Května 2014 | 1,610 | 59.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 7.5% | 17.5% | – | 9% | 2% | 1% | 0.5% | 10% | 21.5% | – | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1% | 23.5% | – | 2.5% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 14. – 19. Května 2014 | 1,507 | 60% | 0.5% | 2% | 7.5% | 17% | – | 9.5% | 2% | 1% | 0.5% | 10% | 21.5% | – | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1% | 23.5% | – | 2% | |
| Ipsos | 15. – 18. Května 2014 | 1,538 | 59.5% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 17.5% | – | 8% | 2% | 1.5% | – | 8.5% | 22% | 0.5% | <0.5% | 3.5% | – | 24% | – | 3.5% | |
| Ipsos | 14. – 17. Května 2014 | 1,516 | 59.5% | 1.5% | 1% | 7% | 17% | – | 8.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | – | 8% | 21.5% | 0.5% | <0.5% | 3.5% | – | 24% | – | 3.5% | |
| BVA | 15. – 16. Května 2014 | 1,045 | – | 1% | 1% | 8% | 17% | – | 9% | 1.5% | 1% | – | 9.5% | 21% | 1% | 1% | 2% | – | 23% | – | 4% | |
| OpinionWay | 14. – 16. Května 2014 | 1,017 | 63% | 1% | 1% | 8% | 16% | – | 9% | 2.5% | <1% | – | 10.5% | 23% | 0.5% | <1% | 2.5% | – | 22% | – | 4% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 13. – 16. Května 2014 | 1,424 | 60% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 7.5% | 17% | – | 9.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 10% | 22% | – | <0.5% | 1.5% | 1% | 23% | – | 3% | |
| Ipsos | 13. – 16. Května 2014 | 1,507 | 60% | 1.5% | 1% | 7% | 17% | – | 8% | 2.5% | 2% | – | 7.5% | 22.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 3% | – | 24% | – | 3% | |
| CSA | 13. – 15. Května 2014 | 994 | 64% | 1% | 1.5% | 6.5% | 18% | – | 8% | 2% | <0.5% | – | 9% | 21% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 2% | – | 25% | – | 6% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 12. – 15. Května 2014 | 1,407 | 60.5% | 0.5% | 1% | 7.5% | 16.5% | – | 10% | 2% | 1% | 0.5% | 10% | 22.5% | – | <0.5% | 1.5% | 1% | 23.5% | – | 2.5% | |
| Ipsos | 12. – 15. Května 2014 | 1,507 | 61% | 1% | 1.5% | 7% | 17% | – | 8% | 2.5% | 2% | – | 7.5% | 23% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 3% | – | 24% | – | 2.5% | |
| Harris Interactive | 12. – 14. Května 2014 | 1,429 | – | 1% | 2% | 7% | 16.5% | – | 10% | 2% | 1% | – | 8% | 21% | 1% | – | 3% | – | 22% | – | 5.5% | |
| Ipsos | 12. – 14. Května 2014 | 1,007 | 62% | 1% | 1.5% | 7.5% | 17% | – | 8.5% | 2% | 2% | – | 8% | 23% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 3% | – | 24% | – | 1.5% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 9. – 14. Května 2014 | 1,311 | 60.5% | 0.5% | 1% | 7.5% | 16.5% | – | 10% | 2% | 1% | 0.5% | 9.5% | 22.5% | – | <0.5% | 1.5% | 1% | 24% | – | 2.5% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 7. – 13. Května 2014 | 1,206 | 61% | 0.5% | 1% | 7.5% | 17% | – | 10% | 1.5% | 1% | 0.5% | 9.5% | 22.5% | – | 0.5% | 1% | 1% | 24% | – | 2.5% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 6. – 12. Května 2014 | 1,118 | 61% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 7.5% | 17% | – | 9.5% | 2% | 1% | 0.5% | 9.5% | 22% | – | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1% | 24% | – | 2% | |
| TNS Sofres | 9. – 11. Května 2014 | 1,504 | 59% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 6% | 16% | – | 8.5% | 2% | 1.5% | 1% | 8% | 21% | 1% | <0.5% | 3% | – | 23% | – | 5% | |
| OpinionWay | 5. – 9. Května 2014 | 1,961 | 62% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 16% | – | 9% | 2% | <1% | – | 10% | 23% | 1% | <1% | 3% | – | 22% | – | 5% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 2. – 7. Května 2014 | 1,076 | 61% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 7% | 17.5% | – | 9% | 2.5% | 1% | – | 10% | 22% | – | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1% | 24% | – | 2% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 30. dubna - 6. května 2014 | 1,036 | 61.5% | 1% | 1.5% | 7% | 18% | – | 9% | 2% | 1% | – | 10% | 22.5% | – | <0.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 24% | – | 2% | |
| YouGov | 28. dubna - 6. května 2014 | 1,069 | – | 4% | 3% | 10% | 18% | – | 7% | – | 1% | – | 8% | 21% | – | 0% | 2% | – | 24% | – | 2% | |
| Harris Interactive | 2. – 5. Května 2014 | 1,600 | – | 2% | 2% | 8% | 17% | – | 9% | 2% | <0.5% | – | 9% | 21% | 1% | <0.5% | 3% | – | 22% | – | 4% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 30. dubna - 5. května 2014 | 989 | 62% | 0.5% | 2% | 7.5% | 18% | – | 9% | 2% | 1.5% | – | 10% | 22.5% | – | <0.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 23.5% | – | 1.5% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 28. dubna - 2. května 2014 | 989 | 62.5% | 0.5% | 2% | 8% | 18.5% | – | 9% | 1.5% | 1% | – | 10% | 22.5% | – | <0.5% | 1.5% | – | 23.5% | – | 2% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 25–30 dubna 2014 | 993 | 63% | 0.5% | 2.5% | 8% | 19% | – | 8.5% | 1% | 1% | – | 10% | 22.5% | – | <0.5% | 2% | – | 23% | – | 2% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 24. – 29. Dubna 2014 | 993 | 63% | 0.5% | 2.5% | 7.5% | 19.5% | – | 8% | 1% | 0.5% | – | 10.5% | 23% | – | <0.5% | 2% | – | 23% | – | 2% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 23. – 28. Dubna 2014 | 997 | 62.5% | 0.5% | 2% | 8% | 19.5% | – | 8% | 1% | 0.5% | – | 10.5% | 23% | – | <0.5% | 2.5% | – | 22.5% | – | 2% | |
| OpinionWay | 23. – 25. Dubna 2014 | 1,830 | 60% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 18% | – | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 11% | 22% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 3% | – | 20% | – | 3% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 22. – 25. Dubna 2014 | 997 | 62% | 0.5% | 2% | 8% | 19.5% | – | 8.5% | 1% | 0.5% | – | 10% | 23.5% | – | <0.5% | 2% | – | 22.5% | – | 2% | |
| CSA | 22–24 dubna 2014 | 1,005 | 65% | 1% | 1.5% | 7.5% | 20% | – | 7% | 2% | <0.5% | – | 9% | 22% | 1% | <0.5% | 2% | – | 24% | – | 3% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 21. – 24. Dubna 2014 | 1,000 | 61.5% | 0.5% | 2% | 8% | 19% | – | 9% | 1% | 1% | – | 10% | 23.5% | – | <0.5% | 2% | – | 22.5% | – | 1.5% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 18–23 dubna 2014 | 984 | 61% | 0.5% | 2% | 8% | 19% | – | 9% | 1.5% | 1% | – | 10% | 23% | – | <0.5% | 1.5% | – | 22.5% | – | 2% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 17. – 22. Dubna 2014 | 980 | 60.5% | 0.5% | 2% | 8.5% | 19% | – | 8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | – | 10% | 22.5% | – | <0.5% | 1.5% | – | 23% | – | 2% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial * | 15. – 19. Dubna 2014 | 1,869 | – | 1% | 3% | 8% | 18.5% | – | 8.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | – | 10% | 22% | – | <0.5% | 1.5% | – | 23% | – | 1.5% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 15. – 18. Dubna 2014 | 989 | 60% | 0.5% | 2.5% | 8% | 19.5% | – | 8% | 1.5% | 1% | – | 10% | 22.5% | – | <0.5% | 2% | – | 23% | – | 1.5% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 14–17 dubna 2014 | 989 | 60% | 0.5% | 2.5% | 8% | 19.5% | – | 7.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | – | 10.5% | 22.5% | – | <0.5% | 2% | – | 23.5% | – | 1.5% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 11. – 16. Dubna 2014 | 990 | 60.5% | 0.5% | 2.5% | 8% | 20% | – | 7.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | – | 10% | 22.5% | – | <0.5% | 2% | – | 23.5% | – | 1.5% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 10. – 15. Dubna 2014 | 999 | 61% | 0.5% | 2% | 8% | 20% | – | 8% | 1% | 0.5% | – | 10% | 22.5% | – | <0.5% | 1.5% | – | 24% | – | 2% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 9. – 14. Dubna 2014 | 1,008 | 61.5% | 0.5% | 2% | 8% | 20.5% | – | 8% | 1% | 0.5% | – | 9.5% | 22.5% | – | <0.5% | 1.5% | – | 24% | – | 2% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 8. – 11. Dubna 2014 | 1,002 | 61.5% | 0.5% | 2% | 8.5% | 20.5% | – | 7.5% | 1% | 1% | – | 9.5% | 22.5% | – | <0.5% | 1.5% | – | 24% | – | 1.5% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 7. – 10. Dubna 2014 | 997 | 61% | 0.5% | 2% | 8% | 21% | – | 7.5% | 1% | 0.5% | – | 9% | 23% | – | 0.5% | 1.5% | – | 24% | – | 1.5% | |
| TNS Sofres | 4. – 6. Dubna 2014 | 1,501 | – | 2% | 1% | 7% | 19% | – | 9% | – | 1.5% | – | 9% | 25% | – | 0.5% | 2% | – | 24% | – | – | |
| Ifop | 31. března - 4. dubna 2014 | 1,872 | – | 0.5% | 2.5% | 7.5% | 19% | – | 8.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | – | 8% | 24% | – | – | 2% | – | 22% | – | 3% | |
| OpinionWay | 31. března 2014 | 1,053 | – | 1% | 1% | 9% | 18% | – | 7% | 2% | – | 1% | 12% | 22% | 1% | – | 3% | – | 20% | – | 3% | |
| Harris Interactive | 30. března 2014 | 3,000 | – | 2% | 7% | 16% | – | 9% | 2% | 2% | – | 11% | 20% | 1% | – | 3% | – | 22% | – | 5% | ||
| Ipsos | 27–29. Března 2014 | 1,533 | – | 2% | 1% | 8% | 19% | – | 10% | – | 2% | – | 8% | 24% | – | 0.5% | 3.5% | – | 22% | – | – | |
| OpinionWay | 23. – 24. Března 2014 | 1,158 | – | 1% | 1% | 8% | 17% | – | 7% | 2% | – | 10% | 22% | – | 1% | 3% | – | 21% | – | 7% | ||
| OpinionWay | 7. – 11. Března 2014 | 1,008 | – | 1% | 3% | 9% | 17% | – | 7% | 1% | 1% | – | 9% | 22% | 0% | 1% | 4% | – | 21% | – | 4% | |
| OpinionWay | 12. – 14. Února 2014 | 2,104 | – | – | 4% | 9% | 16% | – | 9% | – | – | – | 12% | 22% | – | – | 3% | – | 20% | – | 5% | |
| Ifop | 14. – 17. Ledna 2014 | 1,894 | – | – | 2% | 9% | 18% | – | 7% | – | – | – | 11% | 21% | – | – | 2.5% | – | 23% | – | 6.5% | |
| Ifop | 1. – 4. Října 2013 | 1,893 | – | – | 2% | 10% | 19% | – | 6% | – | – | – | 11% | 22% | – | – | 2% | – | 24% | – | 4% | |
| YouGov | 7. – 12. Června 2013 | 1,014 | – | – | 2% | 15% | 15% | 5% | 7% | – | – | – | 8% | 5% | 19% | – | – | – | 6% | 18% | – | – |
| CSA | 21. května - 12. června 2013 | 3,952 | – | 1% | 3% | 9% | 19% | – | 8% | – | – | – | 7% | 6% | 23% | – | – | 1% | – | 20% | – | 3% |
| Ifop | 29. – 31. Května 2013 | 1,869 | – | – | 2% | 9% | 21% | – | 7.5% | – | – | – | 7% | 6.5% | 21% | – | – | 3% | – | 21% | – | 2% |
| Harris Interactive | 22. – 24. Května 2013 | 1,279 | – | 2% | 8% | 21% | – | 10% | – | – | – | 6% | 8% | 23% | – | – | 1% | – | 18% | – | 3% | |
| 2009 volby | 7. června 2009 | – | 59.37% | 6.10% (EXG ) | 6.05% | 16.48% | 0.46% | 16.28% | – | – | (DIV) | 8.46% | – | 27.88% | – | – | (DVD) | 6.74% | 6.34% | 0.51% | 4.70% | |
Podle volebního obvodu
Odhad
| Dotazovací firma | Datum terénní práce | Vzorek velikost | Břišní svaly. | HLE | NPA | FG | PS PRG | EELV | ND | ES | AEI | Modem | UDI | UMP | NC | F V | DLR | FN | DIV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 volby | 25. května 2014 | – | 56.85% | 1.36% | 0.33% | 5.24% | 13.24% | 6.41% | 2.44% | 0.37% | 2.34% | 9.19% | 22.72% | 1.29% | 0.53% | 4.16% | 28.98% | 1.38% | |
| Ifop | 15. – 19. Dubna 2014 | 666 | – | 1.5% | 3% | 6.5% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 1.5% | – | – | 7.5% | 24% | – | – | 0.5% | 26% | 1.5% | |
Île-de-France
| Dotazovací firma | Datum terénní práce | Vzorek velikost | Břišní svaly. | HLE | NPA | FG | PS PRG | EELV | ND | ES | AEI | Modem | UDI | UMP | NC | F V | DLR | FN | DIV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 volby | 25. května 2014 | – | 61.02% | 0.85% | 0.84% | 6.48% | 14.28% | 9.68% | 3.06% | 2.34% | 1.74% | 11.99% | 21.79% | 2.16% | 1.20% | 3.82% | 17.00% | 2.79% | |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 14. – 19. Května 2014 | 703 | – | 0.5% | 3.5% | 7% | 17% | 9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 10% | 21% | 2% | <0.5% | 2.5% | 20% | 3% | |
Sud-Est
| Dotazovací firma | Datum terénní práce | Vzorek velikost | Břišní svaly. | HLE | NPA | FG | PS PRG | EELV | ND | ES | AEI | Modem | UDI | UMP | NC | F V | DLR | FN | R&PS | DIV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 volby | 25. května 2014 | – | 57.04% | 0.90% | – | 5.96% | 11.88% | 9.32% | 3.15% | – | 2.14% | 8.44% | 22.40% | 1.50% | 0.43% | 3.92% | 28.18% | 0.75% | 1.03% | |
| Ifop | 23. – 28. Dubna 2014 | 686 | – | 1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 1.5% | 1% | – | 8.5% | 28% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 2.5% | 23% | 1.5% | <0.5% | |
| OpinionWay | 19. – 21. Února 2014 | 1,052 | – | – | 2% | 9% | 15% | 9% | – | – | – | 8% | 25% | – | – | 3% | 26% | – | 3% | |
Viz také
- Průzkum veřejného mínění pro volby do Evropského parlamentu 2019 ve Francii
- Průzkum veřejného mínění pro volby do Evropského parlamentu 2009 ve Francii
Reference
- ^ „Les élections européennes en temps réel avec l'Euro-Rolling 2014 Ifop - Fiducial - Paris Match“ (PDF). Ifop. 9. dubna 2014. Citováno 27. dubna 2018.
externí odkazy
- Oznámení francouzské volební komise (francouzsky)